Following 5.9% Rise Last Week, Equinox Gold Shareholders Still Down 49% Over Past Three Years


While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Equinox Gold Corp. (TSE:EQX) share price up 26% in a single quarter. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 49% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

While the stock has risen 5.9% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let’s see what the fundamentals can tell us.

View our latest analysis for Equinox Gold

Given that Equinox Gold didn’t make a profit in the last twelve months, we’ll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That’s because it’s hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over three years, Equinox Gold grew revenue at 40% per year. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. The share price drop of 14% per year over three years would be considered disappointing by many, so you might argue the company is getting little credit for its impressive revenue growth. It’s possible that the prior share price assumed unrealistically high future growth. Still, with high hopes now tempered, now might prove to be an opportunity to buy.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

TSX:EQX Earnings and Revenue Growth January 16th 2023

It’s good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That’s a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Equinox Gold in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Equinox Gold shareholders are down 35% for the year. Unfortunately, that’s worse than the broader market decline of 0.6%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there’s a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year’s performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should “buy when there is blood on the streets”, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares – and the price they paid.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Equinox Gold is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



Read More:Following 5.9% Rise Last Week, Equinox Gold Shareholders Still Down 49% Over Past Three Years

2023-01-16 10:17:51

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